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Scoring usually peaks in July and then slowly starts to decline in August. This season is an aberration, at least so far. The data is through Aug. 15. It's curious that BABIP is down so far, though it's likely happenstance and not something tangible. This is the time to start getting more aggressive with pitching usually based on declining scoring, but also due to category management. While the August increase suggests proceeding with caution (especially if BABIP regresses up), you do what you have to do if you need points.
Month
runs per game
HR%
K%
BB%
BABIP
Mar/Apr
4.34
2.8%
22.1%
9.0%
0.288
May
4.32
2.9%
21.7%
8.3%
0.294
Jun
4.45
3.1%
21.9%
8.3%
0.291
Jul
4.50
3.2%
21.9%
8.2%
0.290
Aug
4.61
3.3%
21.9%
8.3%
0.286
Question? Comments? The discussion section is back. Just keep in mind I pull the rotations from the Probable Pitchers Page.
Scoring usually peaks in July and then slowly starts to decline in August. This season is an aberration, at least so far. The data is through Aug. 15. It's curious that BABIP is down so far, though it's likely happenstance and not something tangible. This is the time to start getting more aggressive with pitching usually based on declining scoring, but also due to category management. While the August increase suggests proceeding with caution (especially if BABIP regresses up), you do what you have to do if you need points.
Month
runs per game
HR%
K%
BB%
BABIP
Mar/Apr
4.34
2.8%
22.1%
9.0%
0.288
May
4.32
2.9%
21.7%
8.3%
0.294
Jun
4.45
3.1%
21.9%
8.3%
0.291
Jul
4.50
3.2%
21.9%
8.2%
0.290
Aug
4.61
3.3%
21.9%
8.3%
0.286
Question? Comments? The discussion section is back. Just keep in mind I pull the rotations from the Probable Pitchers Page.
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Todd has been writing about fantasy baseball since 1997. He won NL Tout Wars and Mixed LABR in 2016 as well as a multi-time league winner in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship. Todd is now setting his sights even higher: The Rotowire Staff League. Lord Zola, as he's known in the industry, won the 2013 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Article of the Year award and was named the 2017 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year. Todd is a five-time FSWA awards finalist.
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