10-Day IL
Injury Finger
Est. Return 9/5/2025
2025 Stats
AVG
.265
HR
7
RBI
24
R
24
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez missed more than seven weeks with a torn UCL in his left hand, suffered while catching his fall after tripping while rounding second base. When healthy, he was the Mets regular backstop, his role again this season. Alvarez will be one of the youngest starting catchers at just 23 years old; his offense is still a work in progress. His 62nd percentile hard-hit rate was down a tick from the previous season but still promising relative to his age. Alvarez's contact rate is below average, but it's improved a tick each of his last two seasons. His patience is above average, boding well for improved quality and quantity of contact. Behind the dish, he's an excellent framer, with a great pop time. All signs point to continued improvement, with more playing time. This is probably the last time he's a borderline option in one-catcher leagues. Alvarez will be a staple sooner than later. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Mets in March of 2025.
Catches nine innings at Triple-A
Alvarez (thumb/finger) was able to catch all nine innings of Sunday's game with Triple-A Syracuse, and he appears to be close to returning from the injured list, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
The 23-year-old backstop landed on the IL on Aug. 18 due to a right thumb injury that will likely require offseason surgery, and Alvarez's digits continued to take a beating on a rehab assignment last week when he was hit by a pitch and fractured his lefty pinky finger Wednesday. Incredibly, he was only sidelined until Saturday before resuming his rehab stint, and pain tolerance appears to be the biggest hurdle before he'll be able to return to the Mets. That said, over his two games this weekend with Syracuse he went 1-for-9 with six strikeouts, and trying to play through injuries to both hands isn't going to help his performance as a hitter.
The 23-year-old backstop landed on the IL on Aug. 18 due to a right thumb injury that will likely require offseason surgery, and Alvarez's digits continued to take a beating on a rehab assignment last week when he was hit by a pitch and fractured his lefty pinky finger Wednesday. Incredibly, he was only sidelined until Saturday before resuming his rehab stint, and pain tolerance appears to be the biggest hurdle before he'll be able to return to the Mets. That said, over his two games this weekend with Syracuse he went 1-for-9 with six strikeouts, and trying to play through injuries to both hands isn't going to help his performance as a hitter.
Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
3
14
13
8
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
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#9
4
7
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2025
+1%
OPS vs LHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .699 | 275 | 12 | 40 | .201 | ||||
| Since 2023vs Right | .743 | 699 | 31 | 94 | .242 | ||||
| 2025vs Left | .795 | 45 | 1 | 3 | .231 | ||||
| 2025vs Right | .785 | 164 | 6 | 21 | .274 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .806 | 82 | 5 | 15 | .239 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .680 | 260 | 6 | 32 | .236 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .611 | 148 | 6 | 22 | .171 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .777 | 275 | 19 | 41 | .229 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
| Minor League Splits→ | View Minor League Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
+6%
OPS on Road
2025
+7%
OPS on Road
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | .709 | 476 | 20 | 65 | .217 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | .751 | 498 | 23 | 69 | .244 | ||||
| 2025Home | .759 | 103 | 4 | 13 | .242 | ||||
| 2025Away | .815 | 106 | 3 | 11 | .287 | ||||
| 2024Home | .727 | 166 | 7 | 23 | .221 | ||||
| 2024Away | .694 | 176 | 4 | 24 | .252 | ||||
| 2023Home | .670 | 207 | 9 | 29 | .201 | ||||
| 2023Away | .768 | 216 | 16 | 34 | .217 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Francisco Alvarez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.41BB Rate
10.5%K Rate
25.8%BABIP
.339ISO
.173AVG
.265OBP
.349SLG
.438OPS
.787wOBA
.349Exit Velocity
93.5 mphHard Hit Rate
41.2%Barrels/PA
7.7%Expected BA
.222Expected SLG
.401Sprint Speed
22.8 ft/secGround Ball %
47.3%Line Drive %
16.8%Fly Ball %
35.9%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Alvarez didn't break camp with the Mets, but he was called up a week into the season and became the regular backstop, catching two-thirds of the club's games, along with seven games as the designated hitters. Alvarez fanned 26 percent of the time, which was in range of his minor league track record. However, his walk rate was just eight percent, considerably lower than his minor league pedigree. An above average exit velocity on fly balls supported bashing 25 homers. However, Alvarez's .222 BABIP, along with an above average strikeout rate rendered him a batting average liability. Some of the low BABIP was an unusually low line drive rate, along with a low BABIP on grounders. Both should improve this season, but Alvarez's average will still likely be detrimental to a fantasy lineup. On the other hand, his power is real, and his run production should pick up as the Mets offense should improve. Alvarez's defense and framing were excellent, though he had trouble controlling the running game. Alvarez should be among the leaders in homers from catchers, just make sure you can absorb his low average.
More Fantasy News
Nursing fractured finger
Alvarez (thumb) suffered a fractured left pinky finger when he was hit by a pitch during a rehab game at Triple-A Syracuse on Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Exits rehab game
Alvarez was removed from a rehab game at Triple-A Syracuse on Wednesday after getting hit on the left hand by a pitch, Pat Ragazzo of SI.com reports.
Analysis
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Starting rehab assignment Wednesday
Alvarez (thumb) will begin a rehab assignment Wednesday, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.
Analysis
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Approaching rehab assignment
Alvarez (thumb) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment Wednesday or Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Will eventually need surgery
Manager Carlos Mendoza said Alvarez (thumb), who was placed on the 10-day injured list Tuesday, will need to undergo surgery at some point, but the catcher will be re-evaluated in 10-to-14 days to determine if he can play through the injury for the rest of the season, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Inching closer to MLB return
Alvarez is working his way back from a thumb injury and is expected to begin a rehab assignment later this month, according to Anthony DiComo of MLB.com.
Analysis
Alvarez has recovered quicker than expected, and Mets manager Carlos Mendoza expressed shock when he was sent video of Alvarez already swinging a bat this past Sunday. "When I was looking at it, I was like, 'There's no way this guy is swinging the bat,'" he said. Alvarez is expected to undergo surgery after the season, but if he doesn't suffer a setback during his rehab assignment, he should be ready to return to the majors in the coming weeks, presumably during the first week of September if everything goes well.
Alvarez has recovered quicker than expected, and Mets manager Carlos Mendoza expressed shock when he was sent video of Alvarez already swinging a bat this past Sunday. "When I was looking at it, I was like, 'There's no way this guy is swinging the bat,'" he said. Alvarez is expected to undergo surgery after the season, but if he doesn't suffer a setback during his rehab assignment, he should be ready to return to the majors in the coming weeks, presumably during the first week of September if everything goes well.