Updated Seahawks vs Patriots Predictions & Odds for Super Bowl LX (2026)

The Seattle Seahawks will take on the New England Patriots in one of the most unlikely Super Bowl matchups in recent NFL history. In fact, based on preseason odds, this is the least likely Super Bowl matchup ever, according to The Athletic's Mike Sando. If you placed a preseason bet using one of the best sportsbook promos, you'd be sitting pretty right now. 

Heading into the final game of the year, it's more important than ever to ensure you read up on our staff's expert Seahawks vs Patriots predictions and stay up to date with the latest Patriots vs Seahawks odds. Here's everything you need to know for Super Bowl LX: 

Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl Odds

All odds in the table below are sourced from BetMGM. Use a BetMGM Bonus Code to juice up your bets. Note that odds may have moved after this article was published. 

Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction

The Seahawks aren't just great, they're historically great. Including the postseason, the Seahawks are the fifth-best team in NFL history by DVOA, dating back to 1978. And yet, I'm picking the Patriots to win. 

It all starts upfront. The presence of Milton Williams completely transforms this defense. When he was healthy (Weeks 1-10), New England was the fourth-best run defense by EPA and allowed the eighth-lowest rushing success rate. An ankle injury sidelined him for most of the regular season, but he picked up right where he left off. 

The Patriots have held opposing RBs to an average of 36.7 rushing yards per game through three playoff games. In total, Williams has played 15 games with New England. No RB has recorded more than 53 rushing yards. If the run game is stymied, Sam Darnold will have to do the heavy lifting. That's exactly what Mike Vrabel wants. 

Darnold struggles when pressured. Though he's coming off a career year, he hasn't quite refined that part of his game. Darnold threw eight interceptions when pressured, which was tied for the most in the league. His 5.2% turnover-worthy play rate when pressured was sixth-worst among 26 qualified QBs. If you speed him up, Darnold has consistently shown he'll turn the ball over. 

If you had to design a pass-rush to beat Seattle in a lab, you'd end up with a unit that looks a lot like New England's. 

The interior is the biggest weakness of Seattle's offensive line. All three interior starters received below-average pass-blocking grades from PFF. And RG Anthony Bradford was the league's fourth worst pass-blocking guard among 77 qualifiers. 

That's a significant problem against the Patriots, whose pass-rush is built from the inside out. DT Christian Barmore was tied for the fourth-most hurries at the position (40). And Milton Williams was impacting the QB at the fourth-highest rate, per PFF. His 13 hurries lead all defenders this postseason. 

Throw in the fact that Christian Gonzales, a bonafide top-five corner, should be shadowing Jaxon Smith-Njgiba, and the Patriots' defense matches up exceptionally well with Seattle. They can take away the running game, force Sam Darnold to beat them, make him do it under pressure, and with a limited JSN.

New England's offense against the best defense in football is a tougher sell. But, again, they have some real matchup advantages.

Defending mobile QBs is one of the few weaknesses of the Seahawks' defense. Seattle has only played two legitimate dual-threat QBs this season. Kyler Murray turned 5 carries into 41 yards, and Jayden Daniels had 10 rushes for 51 yards. In total, Seattle allowed the sixth-highest yards per carry to opposing QBs.

Drake Maye's passing has fallen off a cliff in the postseason. But he's been more dynamic than ever as a rusher. He finished with at least 65 rushing yards in two of his three playoff appearances. I expect Maye, who led the league in scrambles and was third in scramble rate, to use his legs to great effect in the Super Bowl. 

The only other real weak point of the Seahawks' defense is their ability to defend the tight end. Seattle allowed the fifth-most receptions (105) and the sixth-most yards (1,080) to opposing TEs. And wouldn't you know it, that's another weakness NE is built to exploit, as TE Hunter Henry is this team's second-leading receiver. 

In a vacuum, the Seahawks are the better team. I would pick them to beat every other team in the league. But the Patriots are built to take away what they do well, and exploit what they don't. 

The schedule makers strike again. This matchup gives New England the perfect recipe to pull off a massive upset. I think the Patriots will do just that. 

• ⭐️ Score Prediction: New England Patriots Win, 20-14

Seahawks vs Patriots Expert Predictions 

Here's a look at the RotoWire Staff's Patriots vs Seahawks moneyline predictions: 

• Brandon Justice: Seahawks
• Tyler Huntington: Seahawks
• Blake Weishaar: Seahawks
• Max Staley: Patriots

Three of the four RotoWire experts are picking the Seahawks to beat the Patriots. For the record, I'm the lone staff member picking New England. I finished with the worst regular-season record, but am leading the pack with a 10-2 record in the playoffs. Do with that what you will. 

Seahawks vs Patriots ATS Predictions

• Brandon Justice: Patriots +4.5 
• Tyler Huntington: Seahawks -4.5
• Blake Weishaar: Seahawks -4.5
• Max Staley: Patriots +4.5 

This is an even split, as two experts are backing Seattle -4.5, and two are picking NE +4.5. 

RotoWire Staff Moneyline Prediction Record 

Below, I've detailed the RotoWire staff's moneyline prediction record in the 2025-26 regular season and the NFL Playoffs. 

2025-26 Regular Season: 

• Brandon Justice: 168-104
• Blake Weishaar: 167-105
• Tyler Huntington: 156-116
• Max Staley: 151-121

2025-26 NFL Playoffs: 

• Blake Weishaar: 10-2
• Max Staley: 10-2
• Brandon Justice: 9-3
• Tyler Huntington: 8-4

Where to Bet on Super Bowl LX Odds 

Below, I've listed the major sportsbooks that offer betting markets on this game. I've also included their welcome offers, so you can kickstart your account with some bonus bets.