NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Thursday, February 12

Boost your NBA DFS edge with expert lineup picks, value targets and chalk warnings. Dominate the final DraftKings slate before the All-Star break.
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings Plays and Strategy for Thursday, February 12

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There are only three games on the final DraftKings slate before the All-Star break, but there are still plenty of stars and value-driven options to build around. This article breaks down today's top DFS plays, including elite players, value targets and expected chalk, to help you construct winning lineups. 

Try our DraftKings NBA Lineup Optimizer to discover more expert recommendations, customize the player pool, set exposure percentage and mass-enter DFS lineups.

DraftKings Main Slate NBA Games Today

MIL at OKC: Bucks 10-18 on road; Thunder 22-5 at home

POR at UTA: Trail Blazers 10-16 on road; Jazz 11-17 at home

DAL at LAL: Mavericks on eight-game slide, 5-17 on road; Lakers 14-10 at home

For the latest spreads and over/unders, visit RotoWire's NBA Odds page. There you can also find player props, futures, picks, articles and sportsbook bonus codes.

NBA Injury Report Today  

For all the latest updates, visit RotoWire's NBA Injury News page and our comprehensive NBA Injury Report 

MIL - Kyle Kuzma (foot), Ryan Rollins (foot): Questionable; Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf), Taurean Prince (neck): OUT

OKC - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdomen), Ajay Mitchell (abdomen/ankle), Isaiah Hartenstein (injury management), Jalen Williams (hamstring), Branden Carlson (back): OUT

POR - Deni Avdija (injury management), Robert Williams (injury management): Questionable; Shaedon Sharpe (calf), Kris Murray (back), Matisse Thybulle (knee/thumb)

UTA - Jaren Jackson (knee), Lauri Markkanen (rest), Keyonte George (ankle): OUT

DAL - Naji Marshall (foot), Caleb Martin (ankle): Questionable; Cooper Flagg (foot), Kyrie Irving (knee): OUT

LAL - Deandre Ayton (knee), Luka Doncic (hamstring): OUT

Elite NBA DFS Players

Guards

Isaiah Collier, Jazz ($7,900) vs. Trail Blazers

The second-year point guard is in line to draw another start due to Keyonte George (ankle) being sidelined. Collier is fresh off posting a double-double and has produced 32.8 or more DK points in six consecutive contests, averaging 17.7 points, 12.2 assists, 3.7 rebounds and 2.2 steals in 36.5 minutes per game over that span. 

Kevin Porter, Bucks ($7,800) at Thunder 

Porter is fresh off his second triple-double of the season during Wednesday's win over Orlando and will look to remain productive Thursday. The 25-year-old guard has played in four straight outings following a six-game absence due to a right oblique strain. He has posted at least 44.5 DK points in all four of those games (three starts), during which he has averaged 21.8 points, 8.8 assists, 6.8 rebounds and 2.8 combined steals-plus-blocks in 34.5 minutes per tilt. 

Forwards/Centers

Deni Avdija, Trail Blazers ($9,000) at Jazz 

Avdija struggled in Wednesday's loss to the Timberwolves but will have a prime opportunity to bounce back Thursday, However, he's listed as questionable to suit up due to lower-back injury management, so his status will be worth monitoring ahead of tipoff. Over two appearances against Utah this season, the 25-year-old forward has averaged 26.0 points, 8.5 rebounds and 7.0 assists in 31.5 minutes per game. 

Chet Holmgren, Thunder ($8,600) vs. Bucks 

Holmgren turned in a modest stat line in Wednesday's blowout win over Phoenix and logged just 20 minutes. The Thunder will be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdomen) and Jalen Williams (hamstring) against Milwaukee, so Holmgren should see an uptick in usage and shot attempts. 

Donovan Clingan, Trail Blazers ($7,200) at Jazz 

Clingan wasn't extremely productive in Wednesday's loss to Minnesota but enters a more favorable matchup against Utah on Thursday. The second-year center has tallied at least 34.8 DK points in five of his last six outings, during which he has averaged 13.0 points, 13.2 rebounds, 2.5 assists and 2.3 blocks across 28.5 minutes per contest.

Expected NBA DFS Chalk 

LeBron James, Lakers ($8,800) vs. Mavericks 

The veteran forward has recorded 46.5-plus DK points in back-to-back appearances without Luka Doncic (hamstring), and James has supplied 36.3 or more in each of his last six outings. During that stretch, the 41-year-old has averaged 21.0 points, 8.2 assists, 4.7 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 33.8 minutes per contest.

Mid-Range NBA DFS Picks

Ace Bailey, Jazz ($6,000) vs. Trail Blazers 

Jaren Jackson (knee) is likely done for the season, and Lauri Markkanen will sit out the second leg of this back-to-back set. With that in mind, Bailey is likely to see plenty of shots falling his way Thursday. The rookie first-rounder has generated 25.5-plus DK points in four of his last five outings, averaging 15.6 points, 5.0 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 2.2 combined steals-plus-blocks in 35.8 minutes per game over that stretch.

Brice Sensabaugh, Jazz ($5,500) vs. Trail Blazers 

The Jazz will be without multiple key contributors Thursday, and Sensabaugh could see starter-level minutes. The 22-year-old has supplied 22.0 or more DK points in four of his last five outings, during which he has averaged 15.0 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.2 assists in 25.8 minutes per contest. 

NBA DFS Value Picks

Marvin Bagley, Mavericks ($4,500) at Lakers 

It's a small sample size, but Bagley has been productive with the Mavericks through two games. The big man posted a double-double in Saturday's loss to the Spurs and nearly recorded another in Tuesday's loss to the Suns, recording 46.0 and 21.5 DK points, respectively. He has logged more minutes than starter Daniel Gafford in both of those games, and it wouldn't be shocking to see that trend continue. 

Isaiah Joe, Thunder ($4,400) vs. Bucks 

The Thunder will be shorthanded in the second leg of this back-to-back set, meaning Joe should continue to see increased playing time. The 26-year-old guard has closed with 26.5 or more DK points in four of his last five outings, averaging 17.0 points, 2.4 rebounds, 1.4 assists and 1.4 steals across 26.8 minutes per game during that period. 

Jericho Sims, Bucks ($4,200) at Thunder 

Sims is a bit of a riskier pick, though he's been solid of late and may continue to see increased burn, especially if Kyle Kuzma (foot) or Ryan Rollins (foot) remains out. Sims has put up 32.8-plus DK points in two of his last three games and at least 21.5 in four of his last five. During that five-game span, he has averaged 8.6 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists in 28.8 minutes per tilt.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Joe is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate who has covered the NBA, WNBA and MLB for RotoWire since early 2024.
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