NFL Odds Changes And Line Moves for NFL Week 2
The goal of this article is to look at the key line moves for the week and what they mean in terms of betting. Key numbers in the NFL to watch for are 3, 7, 6, 14, and 10. When a line crosses through one of these, it warrants significant attention.
On the totals side, the key numbers are 41, 43, 37, 44, 51, 33, 47.
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NFL Week 2 Odds (Opening, Current)
Week 2 NFL Lines
- Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers (Packers -1.5 O/U 48.5) (Packers -3.5, O/U 48.0)
- Los Angeles Rams at Tennessee Titans (Rams -4.5 O/U 45.5) / (Rams -5.5 O/U 42.5)
- Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (Bills -8.5 O/U 44.5) / (Bills -7.0 O/U 45.5)
- New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (Dolphins -2.5 O/U 45.5) / (Dolphins -1.5 O/U 44.0)
- New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (Cowboys -4.5 O/U 44.5) / (Cowboys -5.5 O/U 44.5)
- Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (Ravens -12.5 O/U 44.5) / (Ravens -12.5 O/U 45.0)
- Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers (Steelers -1.5 O/U 43.5) / (Steelers -2.5 O/U 40.5)
- San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (49ers -7.0 O/U 44.5) / (49ers -4.5 O/U 40.5)
- Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (Lions -4.5 O/U 48.5) / (Lions -5.0 O/U 47.5)
- Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals (Bengals -5.5 O/U 49.5) / (Bengals -3.5 O/U 49.5)
- Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts (Broncos -3.5 O/U 44.5) / (Broncos -2.5 O/U 42.5)
- Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (Cardinals -4.5 O/U 46.5) / (Cardinals -6.5 O/U 45.5)
- Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs (Chiefs -1.5 O/U 45.5) / (Eagles -1.5 O/U 46.5)
- Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (Vikings -4.5 O/U 45.5) / (Vikings -4.5 O/U 45.5)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Houston Texans (Texans -1.5 O/U 46.5) / (Texans -2.5 O/U 43.5)
- Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders (Chargers -3.0 O/U 44.5) / (Chargers -3.5 O/U 46.5)
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NFL Week 2 Key Injury News
QB - Brock Purdy
RB -
WR - Darnell Mooney, Xavier Worthy, Puka Nacua, Drake London, Jauan Jennings
TE - Brock Bowers, George Kittle, Evan Engram
NFL Week 2 Odds Observations
- The highest spread is Ravens -12.5 vs Browns; the lowest spread is Eagles/Chiefs -1.0
- The highest total game is Bengals/Jaguars 49.5-50.5; the lowest total is Seahawks/Steelers 39.5-41.5
- There are 6 road favorites in Week 2, but only 2 greater than -3.0
- There is a heavy concentration of totals between 44.0-46.0 points
- The highest team totals are Ravens, Bengals, Lions, Bills, Cardinals
- The lowest team totals are the Browns, Saints, Titans, Panthers, Giants
NFL Week 2 Line Movement
A quarterback is the only position that can significantly move an NFL point spread, and a top-tier QB can be worth up to seven or more points. For all other positions, the impact is minimal and usually less than a single point, unless multiple players on the same unit are injured. When a unit has multiple starters out, it is often overlooked in the handicapping world. OL, DL, secondary, and WR are the units that are impacted the most.
Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs
This line move was the biggest of Week 2 as of Sunday 1pm because both teams had already played. This feels like a pretty steep overreaction to the Chiefs losing on a neutral field to the Chargers. The Chiefs opened as -1.5 point home favorites, but the line has moved to Eagles -1.0. The Eagles were lucky they did not lose to the Cowboys at home, so I am thinking we could see some money come back on the Chiefs to get this one to PICK.
It is a rematch of last year's Super Bowl, where the Chiefs were humbled by the Eagles. I still think the Chiefs circle the wagons and get a close home win. KC needs this game way more than Philly.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals
This line opened as high as Bengals -5.5 and has reopened at Bengals -3.0 or -3.5, which is a pretty significant move off Sunday's results. The Jaguars shut down the Panthers 23-10, and the Bengals barely held on to defeat the Browns 17-16. This is the highest total game on the board, and I have to think we will see some downward movement on this total at 49.5-50.5 based on how inept both offenses looked.
Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers
The Packers opened -1.5 home favorites, but between the Micah Parsons trade and their big home win against the Lions Sunday, it has moved to -3.5, crossing over the key number of -3. I would expect this line to stay within the -3 to -4 range as the books will want to avoid any "middle" opportunities from bettors. It is interesting to note that the Commanders were dominant over the Giants at home, and this has had little impact on the line.
Other Games with Line Movement
49ers/Saints - Injuries to 49ers have dropped the line from -6.5 to -4.5 and the total from 44.5 to 40-41.
Seahawks/Steelers - Total opened 43.5, now 40.5
Titans/Rams - Total opened 45.5, now 42.5
